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Topic: Rapport à une guerre...
Posted by: Licorne at jeu. 31 juil. 2008 18:21:53

Keywords: Hé, Raf : un clavier Azerty en vaut deux!

Message:

Une "bonne" guerre peut changer le prix du baril... en le faisant monter.

Un conflit de basse intensité*, s'il n'affecte pas trop la production, ne changera rien, mais un conflit de haute intensité** entrainera une forte hausse de la demande, donc des prix. A plus forte raison s'il affecte une région productrice.

* : guerrilla, guerre civile, guerre de décolonisation, épuration ethnique, génocide, guerres du Golfe, "opérations de maintient de l'ordre", ...
** : conflit type guerre Iran/Irak, Corée, guerre mondiale, ...

Licorne.

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